RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball
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Latest Entries
Mining the News (11/11/26)
Everyone is getting surgery. Source
Early Thoughts on NFBC ADP and Steamer Auction Values
In the past couple weeks, Christmas has come early for us fantasy baseball sickos. Source
No Jump Scare! Postseason Innings Jumps Are Not Actually That Scary
Or at least, they’re not any scarier than any other career high in innings. Source
Reviewing Starting Pitcher Fastball Velocity Gainers & Decliners — Apr 6, 2026
RotoGraphs examines which MLB starters saw their fastball velocity rise or fall in early April 2026, linking those changes to strikeout rates and ERA. The piece highlights early-season velocity spikes as potential breakout signals and notes declines that may warn of performance drops, offering fantasy owners actionable insights for roster decisions.
Reviewing Fun With Tiny Sample Sizes — Pitcher Edition 2026
How'd these pitchers perform the rest of the season? Source
Routes to Hitter Production
Interactive table that helps identify hitters with multiple routes to fantasy production. Source
Mining the News (11/5/26)
The amount of news has slowed down. Source
Early ADP Observations: Catchers
Reviewing undervalued and overvalued catchers in early 2027 drafts. Source
Hitters Who Gained $15 of Value in the Second Half of 2026
Several hitters performed better in the second half compared to the first half of the 2026 fantasy baseball season. Source
Predicting High-K Fantasy Viability
In this follow‑up to his June study, RotoGraphs analyst revisits how a pitcher’s debut strikeout rate (K%) influences their odds of becoming a viable fantasy baseball asset. He confirms that higher K% strongly correlates with reaching key viability thresholds—like 10‑win seasons, 150+ strikeouts, or a 4.00+ fantasy points per game rate—while low debut K% markedly reduces those chances. The piece updates the statistical models with recent 2025‑26 data, offering actionable insights for owners targeting breakout arms in upcoming drafts.
Justin Mason’s 2026 Apology Tour: TGFBI
Justin Mason reviews his 2026 TGFBI team to see what went wrong! Source
Churning Platooning Outfielders: Embrace the Chaos
It's Benny time. Source
Overseas Player Comps: Sato, Taira, Itoh, & Roh
Similar players who made the transition and how they performed. Source
Reviewing Fun With Tiny Sample Sizes — Batter Edition 2026
How'd the early season surprisers perform the rest of the way? Source
Justin Mason’s 2026 Apology Tour: Gladiator 2
Justin Mason takes a look at his second Gladiator team from 2026 as he continues his Apology Tour! Source
Strategy for Finding Hitter Value Through Playing Time
Testing the biggest rank gainers of 2026 to identify trends that could inform future draft strategy. Source
Reviewing First Base 2026 Fantasy Rankings — The Unranked
Who surprised? Source
Don’t Quit on Austin Riley Just Yet
At what is sure to be his lowest draft cost in years, Austin Riley could just be the cheap third base dart throw you end up loving in drafts this offseason. Source
Team Runs Analysis and Hitter Correlations, Part I
I recall wanting nothing to do with the top Washington Nationals hitters at their ADPs last preseason. That ended up being big mistake. Source
Summer Injuries for A’s Bats Means 2027 Buy Low Opportunity
The A’s Sluggers barely got a chance to hit in Sacramento this summer. I think that makes them all buy lows... Source
Mining the News (10/29/26)
... and I'm caught up. Source
4 Pitchers to Rebuy in 2027
4 arms with mixed skillsets and varying track records who are worth drafting at their current price points for 2027 Source
Justin Mason’s 2026 Apology Tour: Gladiator 1
Justin Mason takes a look at his first Gladiator draft from last season to see what went wrong! Source
Mining the News (10/29/26)
... and digging ... Source
Examining Breakout Pitchers Past Pick 150: Part 2
Corbin Young examines several more breakout starting pitchers that were drafted beyond pick 150 in 2026. Can they sustain their success into 2027? Source